Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue +6 (83-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.