Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific -1 (47-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.