Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan | Ohio | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio -4 (74-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.