Model Predictions
| Model | Houston | Memphis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis -9 (89-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.