Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell | Lehigh | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh -10 (57-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.