Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown -21 (71-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.