Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure | Fordham | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fordham +6 (66-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.