Model Predictions
| Model | Towson | Delaware | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware +12 (82-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.