Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cornell -3 (66-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.