Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate +7 (60-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.