Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State | Akron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Akron +5 (69-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.