Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee | Wright State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wright State +7 (67-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.