Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona | UCLA | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA -15 (61-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.