Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania | Temple | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Temple +4 (44-40). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.