Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic | Stetson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson +20 (76-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.