Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin | Sam Houston | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | โ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | โ |
Actual: Sam Houston +13 (78-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.