Model Predictions
| Model | Southeastern Louisiana | Lamar | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar +6 (61-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.