Model Predictions
| Model | Wofford | Davidson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson +15 (77-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.