Model Predictions
| Model | Fordham | Virginia Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech +21 (82-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.