Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate +16 (77-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.