Model Predictions
| Model | Appalachian State | Clemson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Clemson -12 (60-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.