Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell | Army | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army -3 (49-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.