Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee | Eastern Illinois | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois +6 (69-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.