Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook | Brown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brown -13 (56-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.