Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor -2 (72-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.