Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo | Ohio | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio +15 (86-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.