Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina | High Point | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: High Point -5 (68-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.