Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware | Northeastern | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northeastern +14 (90-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.