Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +15 (57-42). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.