Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana State | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt +3 (65-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.