Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma | Texas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas +13 (79-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.