Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa | Rice | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.3% | 0.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.3% | 0.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice -18 (49-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.