Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania | Lehigh | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.0% | 2.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh -5 (54-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.