Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State +20 (82-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.