Model Predictions
| Model | Miami (FL) | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown +4 (65-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.