Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge | Eastern Washington | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Washington +1 (78-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.