Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier | Duquesne | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duquesne +7 (85-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.