Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia | Clemson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Clemson -7 (91-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.