Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma State | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor -15 (41-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.