Model Predictions
| Model | Towson | Northeastern | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern -4 (56-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.