Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drexel -2 (58-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.