Model Predictions
| Model | Army | Lehigh | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh +17 (81-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.