Model Predictions
| Model | Temple | Fordham | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.5% | 2.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.6% | 2.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham -17 (61-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.