Model Predictions
| Model | Holy Cross | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate -17 (51-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.