Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Tech | Centenary (LA) | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Centenary (LA) -11 (51-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.