Model Predictions
| Model | Drexel | Delaware | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware +13 (90-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.