Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary | Winthrop | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop +7 (71-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.