Model Predictions
| Model | Centenary (LA) | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech +10 (51-41). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.