Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic | Samford | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford +44 (90-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.