Model Predictions
| Model | St. Francis Brooklyn | Robert Morris | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Robert Morris +10 (73-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.